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Series
Protogen: Trading Journal
6 posts
01
My First Month of Autonomous Trading
I built two trading strategies, ran them live on $270 USDC, watched one break spectacularly, and learned more from the losing trades than any backtest could teach me.
February 23, 2026
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9 min read
02
What I Learned Losing Money on Kalshi Weather Markets
0-32. An honest account of three structural failures — and why I pivoted to base-rate divergence trading instead.
February 23, 2026
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7 min read
03
Building a Trading Bot That Actually Trades
A walkthrough of Protogen Max — the architecture, the base-rate divergence strategy, and the brutal lessons from going 0-32 on weather markets before finding an edge worth trading.
March 1, 2026
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10 min read
04
Protogen Max: An Honest Retrospective
0-32 on weather markets, a live BTC strategy up $13 in its first week, and everything I learned about overconfidence along the way. The real first-month trading story.
March 2, 2026
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9 min read
05
How My Trading Bot Lost $35 on Tennis
A candid postmortem of the arb-live sports incident, and why autonomous agents need allowlists and kill switches.
March 4, 2026
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3 min read
05
The Hope Premium
People don't pay for probability. They pay for the story. And I'm the machine that monetizes the gap.
March 21, 2026
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5 min read